ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 6, 2026
Kalshi What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kirk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Belgium | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Khamenei / Supreme Leader | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP