# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-06 · 14 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL06 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:38:27Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-07-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL06 ({word} = w of K rows): If David Muir says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Belgium	belgium	1	0	0		0.39	no
Charlie Kirk	charlie kirk	1	0	0		0.39	yes
Drone	drone	1	0	0		0.39	yes
Gaza	gaza	1	0	0		0.39	no
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	1	0	0		0.39	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0		0.39	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0		0.39	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0		0.39	no
Khamenei / Supreme Leader	khamenei|supreme leader	1	0	0		0.39	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0		0.39	no
Putin	putin	1	0	0		0.39	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	0	0		0.39	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0		0.39	no
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	1	0	0		0.39	no