Will “Iran” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 6, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Iran
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: the host
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
HE POINTS TO THE COST OF THE WAR IN IRAN.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…DISPROPORTIONATELY AFFECTED IOWA MORE THAN ANY OTHER STATE. AND I THINK THAT THE WAR IN IRAN IS HER IOWA MORE THAN ANY OTHER STATE. I
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Tonight to the Strait of Hormuz in this war in Iran, our team on the USS George Washington carrier group with exclusive access where they're…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
American fighter jets launching in the night. We're there just days after Iran hit a cargo ship in the strait, that ship sinking. Iran attacking…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Driven by gas and diesel and the war in Iran. President Trump campaigning saying pretend I'm on the ballot. Tonight, the farmers and ranchers in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Iran |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Iran” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP