# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-19 · 15 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG19 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:45:04Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-19 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG19 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	19	13	0.68	YYYYYYnYYn	0.6	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	24	17	0.71	YYYnYYYnYn	0.58	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	28	18	0.64	nYnnYnnnYn	0.48	hist	yes
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.4	hist	no
North Korea / Kim Jong Un	kim jong un|north korea	1	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.35	hist	no
Meta / Facebook / Instagram	facebook|instagram|meta	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	20	6	0.3	nnnnnnYnnY	0.31	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	19	3	0.16	nnYnYnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Moderna	moderna	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
UAE / United Arab Emirates	uae|united arab emirate	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no