ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 18, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 26%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 65%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 63%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 51%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Oman | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alaska | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chucky | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hawaii | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lake Mead | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Meta / Facebook / Instagram | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 22%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 15%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP