Will “Lake Mead” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Lake Mead” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Lake Mead
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Also, the body found in a barrel in Lake Mead at a major turn in this story. And the CDC sending disease detectives to Pennsylvania…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lake Mead |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Lake Mead” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Lake Mead” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Lake Mead” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Lake Mead’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/lake-mead (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=lake%20mead · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP