Will “Eclipse” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Eclipse” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.

41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any host or reporter
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Eclipse

Probability
41% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 12, 2026EclipseKalshiYes
Aug 11, 2026EclipseKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Eclipse” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Eclipse” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 12, 2026.
What is the probability “Eclipse” is said on World News Tonight next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Eclipse’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/eclipse (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=eclipse · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP