# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-12 · 13 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG12 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:01:54Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-12 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG12 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	14	10	0.71	YYYYnYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	23	17	0.74	YYYYYnYnnY	0.59	hist	no
Turkey	turkey	1	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	7	4	0.57	nYnYYnY	0.48	hist	no
Blanche	blanche	1	9	5	0.56	nnYYYYnYn	0.48	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	7	3	0.43	YYnnYnn	0.38	hist	no
Powerball	powerball	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.38	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	7	2	0.29	nYnnYnn	0.34	hist	yes
Eclipse	eclipse	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	16	3	0.19	nnnnnYnYnn	0.28	hist	no
Lakers	laker	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes