ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 6, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 65%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 55%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chipotle / Qdoba | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FAA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jalapenos | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fauci | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Powerball | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 67%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine | No | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Pentagon | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| McConnell | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 25%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 15%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP