What is the probability “FAA” is said on World News Tonight next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “FAA” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “FAA” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “FAA” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2.

41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 07:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

FAA

Probability: 41% · n=2
Settled: 1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 22, 2026 · Oct 22, 2026 · 17:24In transcript

…ONLY PERSON ON THE PLANE WAS NOT HURT. THE NTSB AND THE FAA ARE NOW INVESTIGATING. TONIGHT, TEMPERS FLARING AT A TOWN HALL MEETING IN…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 13, 2026 · Oct 13, 2026 · 13:23In transcript

…clearance. Check your tapes on it, please. I'll do the same. The FAA tonight investigating the incident. So investigators want to look at why did…