# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-06 · 15 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG06 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:47:10Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG06 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	21	16	0.76	YYnYYYnYYY	0.67	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	19	15	0.79	YYYnYYYYYn	0.65	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	10	6	0.6	nnnYYYYYnY	0.55	hist	yes
Drone	drone	1	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	yes
SpaceX	spacex	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	0.47	hist	no
Fauci	fauci	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Pentagon	pentagon	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
McConnell	mcconnell	1	0	0			0.35	hist	no
Powerball	powerball	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	15	4	0.27	nnnnnnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	18	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Chipotle / Qdoba	chipotle|qdoba	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
FAA	faa	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Jalapenos	jalapeno	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes