Abdul El-Sayed: Interview, Aug 28, 2026

Fri, Aug 28InterviewHistory onlyAbdul El-Sayed

Updated

Markets

12 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AIPAC Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Billionaire Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Gaza / Palestine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mike Rogers Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Muslim / Islam Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Usha / JD / Vance Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE No–new new word, no probability yet–
Socialist / Socialism No–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26AUG28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP