Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Billionaire”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Billionaire” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

61%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=billionaire

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abdul El-Sayed

Billionaire

Probability
61% · n=8
Settled
4/8 (50%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest47:33In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest48:13In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not said

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · not said

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not said

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

5 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest13:04In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest13:47In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 5, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes2
Oct 5, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Oct 1, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Aug 28, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes5
Aug 20, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Aug 9, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Billionaire” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Billionaire” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP