What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Mike Rogers” next time?

61%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Mike Rogers”?

Name: Abdul El-Sayed: “Mike Rogers” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Mike Rogers” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.

61%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 17:20 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abdul El-Sayed

Mike Rogers

Probability: 61% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)
Last 5 transcripts: said in 4 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

5 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest21:38In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest22:53In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Aug 28, 2026	Mike Rogers	Kalshi	Yes	–
Aug 24, 2026	Mike Rogers	Kalshi	Yes	5
Aug 20, 2026	Mike Rogers	Kalshi	Yes	–

Questions

How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Mike Rogers”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Mike Rogers” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Mike Rogers” next time?: 61%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Mike Rogers’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/mike-roger (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=mike%20roger · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP