Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Muslim / Islam”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAbdul El-Sayed
Muslim / Islam
- Probability
- 61% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Yes | 1 | |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Yes | – | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | Yes | 3 | |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | No | – | |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muslim / Islam | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Muslim / Islam”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Muslim / Islam” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Muslim / Islam’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/islam-or-muslim (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=islam%20%2F%20muslim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP