Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Muslim / Islam”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

61%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abdul El-Sayed

Muslim / Islam

Probability
61% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 3 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest14:25In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted.

Abdul El-Sayedguest20:17In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026Muslim / IslamKalshiYes1
Aug 28, 2026Muslim / IslamKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026Muslim / IslamKalshiYes3
Aug 20, 2026Muslim / IslamKalshiNo–
Aug 9, 2026Muslim / IslamKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Muslim / Islam”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Muslim / Islam” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Muslim / Islam” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Muslim / Islam’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/islam-or-muslim (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=islam%20%2F%20muslim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP