Will Abdul El-Sayed say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAbdul El-Sayed
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 40% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Aug 28, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Aug 20, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 20, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP