Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Usha / JD / Vance”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Usha / JD / Vance” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAbdul El-Sayed
Usha / JD / Vance
- Probability
- 61% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Usha / JD / Vance | Yes | – | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Usha / JD / Vance | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Usha / JD / Vance”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Usha / JD / Vance” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Usha / JD / Vance” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Usha / JD / Vance’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/jd-or-usha-or-vance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=jd%20%2F%20usha%20%2F%20vance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP