Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Usha / JD / Vance”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Usha / JD / Vance” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

61%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abdul El-Sayed

Usha / JD / Vance

Probability
61% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 3 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest22:55In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

video clipother52:08In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 28, 2026Usha / JD / VanceKalshiYes–
Aug 24, 2026Usha / JD / VanceKalshiYes2

Questions

How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Usha / JD / Vance”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Usha / JD / Vance” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Usha / JD / Vance” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Usha / JD / Vance’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/jd-or-usha-or-vance (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=jd%20%2F%20usha%20%2F%20vance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP