Will Abdul El-Sayed say “ICE”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “ICE” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (17%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Abdul El-Sayed
ICE
- Probability
- 40% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “ICE”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “ICE” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (17%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “ICE” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP