Will Abdul El-Sayed say “Gaza / Palestine”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Gaza / Palestine” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Abdul El-Sayed
Gaza / Palestine
- Probability
- 61% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Gaza / Palestine |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Gaza / Palestine | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Abdul El-Sayed say “Gaza / Palestine”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Abdul El-Sayed said “Gaza / Palestine” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Abdul El-Sayed says “Gaza / Palestine” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abdul El-Sayed: ‘Gaza / Palestine’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abdul-el-sayed/words/gaza-or-palestine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=gaza%20%2F%20palestine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abdul-el-sayed&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP