Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Nov 22, 2025
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during his meeting with Trump?
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery | Yes | 67%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bus | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Rent | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cost of Living | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Work Together / Working Together | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuomo | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Islamophobia / Islamophobic | No | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy | No | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-25NOV22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP