# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · hearing 2026-05-19 · 17 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY19 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:14:17Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of Senate Committee on Appropriations - DOJ Budget Hearing , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Fraud	fraud	1	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.39	hist	yes
Election	election	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.36	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Drug	drug	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
FBI	fbi	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
National Security	national security	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes