Will Todd Blanche say “Russia / Russian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Russia / Russian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Southern District of New York, an indictment was returned that charging multiple Russian individuals that since 2024, these individuals who worked for the services of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Kalshi | No |
| May 19, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Russia / Russian”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Russia / Russian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Russia / Russian” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP