Jared Isaacman: Hearing, Apr 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing?
Markets
14 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Artemis | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mars | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Moon Base | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rocket | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SpaceX | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Houston | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space Force | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Asteroid | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26APR28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP