Will Jared Isaacman say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Trump” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jared Isaacman
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 53% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…base, establish that enduring presence? I think the answer is yes. President Trump gave us the national space policy my first day on the job.…
…of things different over the last couple months, right? I mean President Trump gave me a national space policy that called for America's return to…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jared Isaacman say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Trump” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP