Will Jared Isaacman say “Space Force”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Space Force” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

51%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=space%20force

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Space Force

Probability
51% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo0
Jun 30, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Apr 28, 2026Space ForceKalshiNo–
Apr 27, 2026Space ForceKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Space Force”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Space Force” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Space Force” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Space Force’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/space-force (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=space%20force · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP