Will Jared Isaacman say “Moon Base”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Moon Base” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jared Isaacman
Moon Base
- Probability
- 68% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…near constantly, on a near monthly cadence in 2027 to build the moon base, so we have that enduring presence, that proving ground for Mars.
…the moon with frequency to establish an enduring presence, the build the moon base and do other exciting things like nuclear power and propulsion. And…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jared Isaacman say “Moon Base”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Moon Base” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Moon Base” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Moon Base’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/moon-base (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=moon%20base · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP