Will Jared Isaacman say “Russia / Russian”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Russia / Russian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

54%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=russia%20%2F%20russian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Russia / Russian

Probability
54% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

ED O'KEEFEotherFace the Nation (CBS), July 5, 2026 · Jul 5, 2026In transcript

In the last century, Russia was our biggest space competitor. In this one, arguably, it's China. And you've warned repeatedly that we may now be…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 28, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes
Apr 27, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Russia / Russian”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Russia / Russian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 28, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Russia / Russian” next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP