Will Jared Isaacman say “Elon / Musk”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jared Isaacman did not say “Elon / Musk” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

29%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=elon%20%2F%20musk

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Elon / Musk

Probability
29% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo0
Jun 30, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo–
May 26, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo–
Apr 28, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo–
Apr 27, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jared Isaacman did not say “Elon / Musk” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Elon / Musk” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP