Will Jared Isaacman say “Mars”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Mars” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

69%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=mar

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Mars

Probability
69% · n=7
Settled
7/7 (100%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…near constantly, on a near monthly cadence in 2027 to build the moon base, so we have that enduring presence, that proving ground for Mars.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…Station. You're going to have crews that are there on pretty extended periods of time, as we learn in that environment and prepare for Mars.

Every match in the transcript

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled yes

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · settled yes

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Find “Mars” in this transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026MarsKalshiYes2
Jun 30, 2026MarsKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026MarsKalshiYes–
Apr 28, 2026MarsKalshiYes–
Apr 27, 2026MarsKalshiYes–
Apr 11, 2026MarsKalshiYes–
Apr 5, 2026MarsKalshiYes1

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Mars”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Mars” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Mars” next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Mars’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/mar (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=mar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP