Will Jared Isaacman say “ISS / International Space Station”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “ISS / International Space Station” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

69%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

ISS / International Space Station

Probability
69% · n=7
Settled
5/7 (71%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…say, early 2030s, the moon is going to be like the International Space Station. You're going to have crews that are there on pretty extended…

MARK STRASSMANNotherIn transcript

…to help explore the cosmos, from the space shuttle to the International Space Station, from Hubble and other universe-probing satellites to robotic explorers on Mars,…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled yes

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiYes1
Jun 30, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiYes–
May 26, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiYes–
Apr 28, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiYes–
Apr 27, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiYes–
Apr 11, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiNo–
Apr 5, 2026ISS / International Space StationKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “ISS / International Space Station”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “ISS / International Space Station” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “ISS / International Space Station” next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘ISS / International Space Station’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/international-space-station-or-iss (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=international%20space%20station%20%2F%20iss · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP