Will Jared Isaacman say “ISS / International Space Station”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “ISS / International Space Station” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJared Isaacman
ISS / International Space Station
- Probability
- 69% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…say, early 2030s, the moon is going to be like the International Space Station. You're going to have crews that are there on pretty extended…
…to help explore the cosmos, from the space shuttle to the International Space Station, from Hubble and other universe-probing satellites to robotic explorers on Mars,…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | Yes | 1 | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | Yes | – | |
| Apr 28, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | Yes | – | |
| Apr 27, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | Yes | – | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | No | – | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | ISS / International Space Station | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Jared Isaacman say “ISS / International Space Station”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “ISS / International Space Station” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “ISS / International Space Station” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘ISS / International Space Station’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/international-space-station-or-iss (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=international%20space%20station%20%2F%20iss · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP