Will Jared Isaacman say “SpaceX”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “SpaceX” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

45%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=spacex

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

SpaceX

Probability
45% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…to see the three most powerful rockets in the world, NASA's SLS, SpaceX's Starship, Blue Origin's New Glenn. And then you're going to have the…

MARK STRASSMANNotherIn transcript

…commercial era of space, companies often lead the way, rather than countries, SpaceX, Blue Origin, Boeing. And after a nine-year gap, we're again launching American…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026SpaceXKalshiYes1
Jun 30, 2026SpaceXKalshiNo–
May 26, 2026SpaceXKalshiNo–
Apr 28, 2026SpaceXKalshiYes–
Apr 27, 2026SpaceXKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “SpaceX”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “SpaceX” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “SpaceX” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘SpaceX’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/spacex (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=spacex · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP