Will Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk” 4+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Elon / Musk 4+ times
- Probability
- 61% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Elon / Musk 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Elon / Musk 4+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Elon / Musk 4+ times” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Elon / Musk 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/elon-or-musk-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=elon%20%2F%20musk%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP