Will Bernie Sanders say “Big Beautiful Bill”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Big Beautiful Bill” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Big Beautiful Bill
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Big Beautiful Bill |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Big Beautiful Bill | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Big Beautiful Bill |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Big Beautiful Bill | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Big Beautiful Bill | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Big Beautiful Bill”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Big Beautiful Bill” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Big Beautiful Bill” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/big-beautiful-bill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=big%20beautiful%20bill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP