ABC World News Tonight, October 22, 2026
On the Oct 22, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 15 | 15 | ✓ | 72%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ramaswamy | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 59%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Witkoff | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 51%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 65%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Nor'easter | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| World Series | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| LeBron | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Airbnb | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Norovirus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 23, 2026 13:14 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · ABC News (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
4 matches for “Russia”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…SCENE IN COURT TODAY. TONIGHT, THE RETIRED AMERICAN SCHOOL TEACHER FREED BY RUSSIA, NOW HOME. HOURS LATER, RUSSIA UNLEASHING A DEADLY ATTACK ON KYIV. JAMES…
…NORWOOD REPORTING. THANKS, MORGAN. TONIGHT, THE RETIRED AMERICAN SCHOOL TEACHER FREED BY RUSSIA IS NOW BACK IN THE U.S. IN TEXAS TONIGHT, HOURS AFTER THAT…
Where the listed words were said
THE NEW ARREST, THE THREAT AGAINST PRESIDENT TRUMP. JUST IN TONIGHT, A WOMAN CHARGED WITH THREATENING TO KILL PRESIDENT TRUMP AFTER LEARNING HE WOULD BE…
…RUSSIAN PRISON. RUSSIAN FORCES CAPTURED THE NOW 74 YEAR OLD IN EASTERN UKRAINE IN 2022, WHERE HE'D BEEN LIVING, FALSELY ACCUSING HIM OF FIGHTING FOR…
…JUST 12 YEARS OLD AFTER HER STEPFATHER WAS CHARGED WITH RAPING HER. THEY HAVEN'T SPOKEN SINCE, BUT NOW ACTON'S OPPONENT, VIVEK RAMASWAMY, HAS PUT HER
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP