Lemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026
On the Oct 21, 2026 episode of Lemonade Stand, 8 of the 13 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times | Yes | 35 | 35 | ✓ | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Money | Yes | 19 | 19 | ✓ | 92%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Different | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 83%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Problem | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 83%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Car / Vehicle | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Green | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 66%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 81%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nordic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Korea / Korean | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Legality | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 00:29 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Lemonade Stand (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
5 matches for “Problem”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
and they throw lots of money at the problem. They don't really know how to like make something go viral or what captures attention. And…
Australia is beating us in enforcing gambling. That's a problem because they are the most gambling addicted country I've ever
Yeah, that I I think the automated the automated policing of it is going to have it own problems.
right? AND AND AND THAT'S THE PROBLEM. WE WOULD POST LIKE bro AI soft like bro like we just animated this whole thing.
This is one of the problems with the
Where the listed words were said
…If you guys change your mind, I guess. I think there's like a I not to villain share this by any means, but if you're…
…stuff and I just I don't know like because I'm going to charge brands money but sometimes creators who I like admire are asking for
Audio listeners, we are watching a consistent swiping through different videos of a guy in the front of a car spilling different liquids as the…
they're really pouring it all over our car and causing real damage. What What are you seeing? What's uh or anything that's just caught your…
…I heard is that um the one of the big limiters on green energy is battery technology which is that like you can have ton…
…worked in marketing, uh, everyone was way more afraid of getting caught red-handed on FDC violations and they would, you know, make sure to push…
…sorry to say don't care about like a colorist right like they don't care if the the the reds are perfect and the blues are
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/lemonade-stand:2026-10-21:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=lemonade-stand:2026-10-21:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP