ABC World News Tonight, October 14, 2026
On the Oct 14, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 71%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 48%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Pope Leo | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 52%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NTSB | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Saudi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Guilfoyle | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Resign / Resignation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zacharia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Great Wolf Lodge | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Security | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=47 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
12 matches for “Pope”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…911. Oh my God. What the dispatcher teaches them on the phone. Tonight, Pope Leo's lung cancer and what we've now learned about his condition.
…right, Trevor Alt reporting. Thanks, Trevor. We're going to turn now to Pope Leo and his new battle against lung cancer. There is news tonight…
…after being diagnosed with lung cancer. The Vatican saying the first American pope underwent blood tests and had a chest x-ray today, saying the results…
…confirm that diagnosis of pulmonary adenocarcinoma and they're also likely screening the Pope for other signs of any remaining cancer. Officials say the 71-year-old Pope…
the Pope underwent before surgery, saying he had a biopsy, a chest CT scan and a PET scan, which led to the decision to operate.…
Where the listed words were said
…Lee, thank you. Overseas tonight, Russia had a punishing new attack on Ukraine. And tonight, President Zelensky now says they feel betrayed by the U.S.…
Driven by gas and diesel and the war in Iran. President Trump campaigning saying pretend I'm on the ballot. Tonight, the farmers and ranchers in…
after President Trump made a deal on Russian diesel to bring prices down back here at home. Tonight, the dramatic rescue here in New York…
…According to a recent biography, there is a history of cancer in Pope Leo's family. Both of his parents battled cancer, and Leo's older brother…
…three weeks away. And this evening, the new inflation report just out, showing prices skyrocketing, driven by gas and diesel and the war in Iran.
driving higher costs the war with iran which has sent diesel prices to record highs it's probably the most stressful time of my life in…
Spiking gas and diesel now pushing the rate of inflation to 3.7 percent. In Arizona, President Trump now nearly two years into his term, blaming…
…storm east of Lubbock right now. An active tornado warning and flash flooding possible as well. We've already had a reported tornado near Fort Stockton,…
…Pope Leo. Tom, thank you again. Meantime, back here in the U.S. tonight, the NTSB now investigating a deadly plane crash north of Madison, Wisconsin.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-14:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-14:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP