ABC World News Tonight, October 14, 2026
On the Oct 14, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 71%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 48%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Pope Leo | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 52%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NTSB | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Saudi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Guilfoyle | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Resign / Resignation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zacharia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Great Wolf Lodge | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Security | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=47 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
5 matches for “Iran”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
Driven by gas and diesel and the war in Iran. President Trump campaigning saying pretend I'm on the ballot. Tonight, the farmers and ranchers in…
…three weeks away. And this evening, the new inflation report just out, showing prices skyrocketing, driven by gas and diesel and the war in Iran.
driving higher costs the war with iran which has sent diesel prices to record highs it's probably the most stressful time of my life in…
…effort to bring down record prices caused by the president's war in Iran, and then suggested Ukraine needs a new president. Ukrainian officials now accusing…
…you're absolutely right. I mean, you're looking now at video released by Iran showing that massive container ship sinking as containers fall off the side.…
Where the listed words were said
…to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here with the forecast. Tonight, Russia's new assault on Ukraine, and President Zelensky says they feel betrayed by the U.S.
…now pushing the rate of inflation to 3.7 percent. In Arizona, President Trump now nearly two years into his term, blaming his predecessor, Joe Biden.…
David? Lee Goldberg with us here tonight. Lee, thank you. Overseas tonight, Russia had a punishing new attack on Ukraine. And tonight, President Zelensky now…
…right, Trevor Alt reporting. Thanks, Trevor. We're going to turn now to Pope Leo and his new battle against lung cancer. There is news tonight…
…storm east of Lubbock right now. An active tornado warning and flash flooding possible as well. We've already had a reported tornado near Fort Stockton,…
…Pope Leo. Tom, thank you again. Meantime, back here in the U.S. tonight, the NTSB now investigating a deadly plane crash north of Madison, Wisconsin.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-10-14:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-10-14:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP