Face the Nation (CBS), September 27, 2026
On the Sep 27, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 26 | ✓ | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 20 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 35 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cryptocurrency / Crypto | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
20 matches for “War”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…rising prices for consumers, and growing questions about his strategy in the war with Iran. Adding to those pressures is an ongoing confrontation with the…
…continued to limit CNN's participation in the television pool yesterday. Regarding the war, President Trump told reporters yesterday he had rejected the latest offer to…
…a rare network exclusive interview with the leader of a country at war with the United States. We sat down with President Masoud Pezeshkian New…
…down and signed it. It's clear. The first thing that needs to happen is that the distrust created by this war has to be overcome.
…on the ballot in November call for an end to the Iran war. In the Senate, we've seen 14 votes to date objecting to it.…
Where the listed words were said
…strait is at least partially closed. And it's affected the price of oil. And oil's in everything, including gasoline. And – and it's painful as…
…going to say, Margaret, I don't think any public official, including President Trump or Kristi Noem or John Kennedy, should spend public money on –…
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