Will “China / Chinese” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…we are very much in a space race right now, and the Chinese are moving at incredible speeds, and they are certainly capable of doing…
…century, Russia was our biggest space competitor. In this one, arguably, it's China. And you've warned repeatedly that we may now be in a race…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “China / Chinese” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP