Will “Trump” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on Face the Nation in 9 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (69%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Trump
- Probability
- 46% · n=13
- Settled
- 9/13 (69%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 25 by speakers the rule does not count.
…going to say, Margaret, I don't think any public official, including President Trump or Kristi Noem or John Kennedy, should spend public money on –…
…Margaret Brennan in Washington. And this week on Face the Nation: President Trump turns his focus to the midterm elections following a week of high-stake…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.
…base, establish that enduring presence? I think the answer is yes. President Trump gave us the national space policy my first day on the job.…
…nearby museums and government agency buildings, but they returned to watch President Trump's speech and what was considered the world's largest fireworks display ever, which…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Trump | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Trump” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on Face the Nation in 9 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (69%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP