Will “Taiwan” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Taiwan” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 27, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Taiwan
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…behind it all, serious tensions remain, chief among them the status of Taiwan. We will check in with the territory's representative to the U.S., Ambassador…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Taiwan |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Taiwan” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Taiwan” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Taiwan” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Taiwan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/taiwan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=taiwan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP