Face the Nation (CBS), September 27, 2026
On the Sep 27, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 26 | ✓ | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 20 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 35 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cryptocurrency / Crypto | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
0 matches for “Threat / Threatening”.
Where the listed words were said
…strait is at least partially closed. And it's affected the price of oil. And oil's in everything, including gasoline. And – and it's painful as…
…going to say, Margaret, I don't think any public official, including President Trump or Kristi Noem or John Kennedy, should spend public money on –…
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