Face the Nation (CBS), September 27, 2026
On the Sep 27, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 26 | ✓ | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 20 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 35 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cryptocurrency / Crypto | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America Act | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
9 matches for “Nuclear”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…that you are making for diplomacy, is it now to begin talks about putting limits on Iran's nuclear program, but not fully abandoning that program?
…is absolutely correct. According to those very international laws, when there are nuclear centers under the inspections and auspices of the IAEA within the NPT…
…only Iran chooses, your government chooses to go in a different direction and give up any ambition to have a nuclear weapon. That's the cost.
…that we've conducted? When did we ever say that we are seeking nuclear weapons? They have martyred a supreme leader that, according to his clerical…
…Even if some individuals in Iran may have the incentive to developing nuclear weapons, religiously speaking, they are not allowed to pursue that path. America…
Where the listed words were said
…strait is at least partially closed. And it's affected the price of oil. And oil's in everything, including gasoline. And – and it's painful as…
…going to say, Margaret, I don't think any public official, including President Trump or Kristi Noem or John Kennedy, should spend public money on –…
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