NYT front-page headlines, September 14–20, 2026
In the week ending Sep 20, 2026, 7 of the 15 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 70%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 71%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voter / Votes | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Risk / Risked | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Space | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woman | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 38%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ireland / Irish | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laptop | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lawyer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poverty | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
0 matches for “OpenAI / ChatGPT”.
Where the listed words were said
Snooze Button On A.I. Alarm
Saudis, Besieged by Foes, Feel Brushed Off by Trump
Election Officials Work to Restore Trust With Confused Voters
DEEP-RED AREAS AT RISK FOR G.O.P. IN THE MIDTERMS
IRAN PEACE DEAL WAS SABOTAGED BY HARD-LINERS
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-20:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-20:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP