Will “Risk / Risked” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Risk / Risked” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Sep 18, 2026
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Risk / Risked
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
2 counted.
DEEP-RED AREAS AT RISK FOR G.O.P. IN THE MIDTERMS
While Tech Titans Warn About Rules, Advisers Warn About Risks
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Risk / Risked |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does “Risk / Risked” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Risk / Risked” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Risk / Risked” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Risk / Risked’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/risk-or-risked (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=risk%20%2F%20risked · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP