Will “Lawyer” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Lawyer” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.

36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

Lawyer

Probability
36% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Friday, October 16otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

Age 7, at a Deportation Hearing With No Lawyer

Monday, September 7otherNYT front-page headlines, September 7–13, 2026 · Sep 13, 2026In transcript

Her Lawyer Put Empathy First

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not said

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not said

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026LawyerPolymarketNo0
Sep 20, 2026LawyerPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often does “Lawyer” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Lawyer” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Lawyer” appears on the NYT front page next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Lawyer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/lawyer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=lawyer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP