Will “Vote / Voter / Votes” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Vote / Voter / Votes” appeared on the NYT front page on 4 of 5 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Vote / Voter / Votes
- Probability
- 52% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
3 counted.
Voters’ Distrust Adds Volatility To the Election
JUSTICES PERMIT VOTER SCREENING BY U.S. DATABASE
Counts: anyone
3 counted.
Trump Suffers Another Blow On Mail Votes
Election Officials Work to Restore Trust With Confused Voters
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
Push Against Mail Ballot Leaves Voters Confused
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vote / Voter / Votes |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vote / Voter / Votes | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vote / Voter / Votes | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vote / Voter / Votes | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vote / Voter / Votes | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does “Vote / Voter / Votes” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Vote / Voter / Votes” appeared on the NYT front page on 4 of 5 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 9, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “Vote / Voter / Votes” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Vote / Voter / Votes’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/vote-or-voter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=vote%20%2F%20voter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP