Will “Peace” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Peace” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 7 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 2, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Peace
- Probability
- 43% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
2 counted.
Witkoff, Kushner and Putin Discussed Sale of Lukoil Assets During Peace Talks
Peace Prize Goes to a Jurist Who Rebuked Israel
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
IRAN PEACE DEAL WAS SABOTAGED BY HARD-LINERS
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does “Peace” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Peace” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 7 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 2, 2026 (29%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Peace” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Peace’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/peace (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=peace · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP