NYT front-page headlines, September 7–13, 2026
In the week ending Sep 13, 2026, 6 of the 14 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 71%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 69%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voter / Votes | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Star | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
1 match for “Border”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
Strife at the Northern Border
Where the listed words were said
Trump Envoys Travel to Kyiv for the First Time
Big A.I. Payout Sets Publishers Against Authors
Saving an Arm and a Leg on Gas: No Lead Foot
Push Against Mail Ballot Leaves Voters Confused
The Magic of Green Spaces
AfD Messaging Mirrors Putin’s
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-13:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-13:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP