NYT front-page headlines, September 7–13, 2026
In the week ending Sep 13, 2026, 6 of the 14 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 71%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 69%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Vote / Voter / Votes | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Space | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Star | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
0 matches for “5th / Fifth”.
Where the listed words were said
Trump Envoys Travel to Kyiv for the First Time
Big A.I. Payout Sets Publishers Against Authors
Saving an Arm and a Leg on Gas: No Lead Foot
Push Against Mail Ballot Leaves Voters Confused
The Magic of Green Spaces
AfD Messaging Mirrors Putin’s
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-13:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-13:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP